Is 'Defund the Police' a major political mistake for Democrats?

US elections in 2020 next week: A moment of “panic button” for Senate Republicans

5. 48-ish days until VP selection:

Former Vice President Joe Biden said he would like to have chosen his partner by August 1 – which is not so much now!

(This is my last look at the 10 women who will most likely end up as Biden’s choice.)

Biden himself has fallen short of the previous quarterback in his armchair for who was under scrutiny and who was not.

While he still occasionally offers praise to the most talked about candidates – and his campaign has made virtual debates with politicians such as New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham – the former vice president tends to resist many political shortcomings these days.

This means that things get more serious.

4. How do Democrats dance around “Defund the Police?”:

What Democrats in Congress want to talk about this week is the legislative package they introduced last week to reform the police force – from banning chokeholds to creating a national database of police misconduct.

What they may have to deal with – for a second consecutive week – is the constant appeals of some Black Lives Matter activists to completely undo the police and redistribute these funds to support marginalized communities.
Which is an extremely full position, politically speaking. One ABC News-Ipsos poll released on Friday showed that two-thirds of Americans oppose police removal. But nearly 6 in 10 (57%) of black Americans support such a measure – and redistribute that money to more community-based programs.
Aiming to move beyond the “weakening police” debate, a majority in the Whip Jim Clyburn House, the highest-ranking African-American official in Congress, told CNN on Sunday:

“No one is going to de-finance the police. We can restructure the police force. Rebuild, imagine policing again. That’s what we’re going to do. The fact is that the police have a role to play.”

What is the right political place? Many people support the reform of law enforcement. Much less backwards completely unload it.

The question before the Democrats in Congress is whether Clyburn’s position on Sunday is enough for their party’s most active wing.

3. Trump and ramp:

On Saturday, President Donald Trump delivered the opening speech at West Point. And as he left the stage, Cameras caught him walking carefully under a ramp on the ground.

Twitter reached out to the bananas, suggesting that Trump looked old and weak. Of course, that’s what Twitter does.

But then Trump decided to drastically strengthen the profile of the moment – and ensure that a much bigger story unfolded.

“The ramp I went down after my speech at West Point was very big and steep, it didn’t have a railing and, most importantly, it was very slippery.” Trump tweeted Saturday night. “The last thing I was going to do was ‘fall’ for Fake News to have fun. I finally ran ten feet to ground level. Moment!”

It is difficult to overestimate Trump’s miscalculation here. Without his tweet, his video walking under the ramp is, perhaps, a little Sunday story. With the tweet, it is a GREAT story on Sunday, with the possibility of leaking in a week that the President wants to focus on restarting his re-election campaign.

So why did he do it? Because he is simply incapable of presenting himself publicly as weak or anything less than he is completely managed at all times. So even if he reinforces the criticism, Trump feels like he has to respond to it. (Read this about Trump’s twisted definition of cruelty.)

It is a disastrous political instinct.

2. Restart the Trump campaign:

They have been devastating in recent weeks for Trump and his party. (See below). The President hopes that this is the week where everything is changing, with everything pointing to Saturday’s rally in Talsa, Oklahoma.

While this has already been overcome (The rally was originally scheduled for Friday, June 19, which is known as June 19, a day celebrating the end of slavery) Trump and his closest allies see a return to the campaign trail as perhaps the thing that can cure what is causing the president’s political fate.

Trump, always the fantastic man, he said on Twitter on Friday that “we have already requested tickets for more than 200,000 people. I look forward to seeing everyone in Oklahoma!”
There is no doubt that Trump is fueled by the energy of the crowd and that there will be a lot of people on Saturday night. (No, there will be no 200,000 people; the arena where the event is held has capacity over 19,000.)

But with the rise in corona viruses – especially in the West and the Southwest – weekly news coverage is likely to focus, at least in part, on Trump’s wisdom in conducting a major rally.

Participants have already been asked to sign a resignation acknowledging that a Covid-19 rally on the rally is possible. Talsa’s health director said Saturday that Trump wants to postpone the rally due to concerns about “our ability to protect anyone watching a major, internal event”.

However, there are no current plans to increase the social distance on the rally or the order wearing a mask.

Yes, Trump is likely to get what he wants – a large crowd celebrating the country’s “transition to greatness.” But at what cost?

1. Press the panic button:

Late Saturday night, Des Moines Register published a poll on the Iowa Senate race. And it was shocking.

Democrat Theresa Greenfield won 46% of the vote in the 43% poll for Republican Iowa Senator Joni Ernst. As a poll by J. Ann Selzer famous, was the first voting since Eddard ran and won in 2014 which showed her to follow an opponent in the general election.
While these numbers do not indicate that Erd will lose – Republicans have just begun attack / determination Greenfield after its primary victory earlier this month – make it clear that a race we see on the verge of being competitive now looks like a very real competition.

And this is t-r-o-u-b-l-e for the Senate Republicans hoping to retain their narrow majority this fall.

Why; Because there are many positions that independent disadvantaged people see at least as vulnerable as Iowa.

The Cook Political Report, for example, classifies Iowa as “leaning Republican” along with Georgia’s two seats, Kansas and Montana. And they rank four more GOP seats – Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina – as a drop, which means they are the most threatened.

Do the math: That’s nine places. In contrast, Cook ranks only two democratic seats – Alabama and Michigan – as rivals. And when you consider that Democrats need only three seats to win back the majority if Biden wins the presidential race (and four if he doesn’t), you can see why Republicans had a very bad Saturday night (and Sunday).

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