Trump leads Biden in AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA and WI

Trump leads Biden in AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA and WI

U.S. Democratic nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden answers questions from reporters after a speech on the impact on the U.S. economy of the Trump administration’s response to the coronary heart disease pandemic (COVID-19) during an appearance at Wilmington, Delaware, September 4, 2020.

Kevin Lamarck Reuters

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads the President Donald Trump in six states by 2020, as the Republican National Assembly changed little in the fight for the White House, according to a new CNBC / Change Research poll.

Across Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the former vice president holds a 49% to 45% advantage over the incumbent Republican, according to a poll released Wednesday. It compares to Biden’s 49% to 46% margin in a poll conducted two weeks ago, after the Democratic National Assembly, but before the GOP’s inaugural events.

Biden holds at least a narrow lead in all six states, which will play a key role in determining who wins the White House on November 3. Here is the struggle in all these states and how it has changed since the last survey:

  • Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 45% (was Biden 49%, Trump 47%)
  • Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46% (unchanged)
  • Michigan: Biden 49%, Trump 43% (was Biden 50%, Trump 44%)
  • North Carolina: Biden 49%, Trump 47% (was Biden 48%, Trump 47%)
  • Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 46% (it was Biden 49%, Trump 46%)
  • Wisconsin: Biden 50%, Trump 44% (was Biden 49%, Trump 44%)

The poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, surveyed 4,143 potential voters in the six states and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.4 percentage points.

It shows a race that changes a little even at a time when presidential candidates may see a temporary blow as they overwhelm voters in their nomination contracts. Although Biden’s lead in both national and average polls fell from high observed during the worst coronavirus pandemic in June and July, CNBC / Change Research polls show that the presidential race has not changed much from events in recent weeks.

A poll released Wednesday found that Trump and Biden voters’ views have not changed significantly in the past two weeks. This week, 45% of those polled said they had positive feelings about Trump, compared to 52% who said they viewed him unfavorably. Compared to a 46% to 51% favorable in unfavorable spreads two weeks ago.

Opinions about Biden did not fall at all. In Wednesday’s poll, 45% of potential voters said they had a positive view of the Democratic nominee, while 49% said they had a negative view of him. The numbers were the same two weeks ago.

Respondents were asked to choose the three most important issues facing the country. The most common choice was the economy, jobs and cost of living, chosen by 43% of potential voters, followed by political corruption at 38%. Another 35% of respondents chose Covid-19, followed by law and order in 29%, and racism and discrimination in 27%.

The major parties have drastically different views on the most important issues. Among Democrats, 61% chose Covid-19 and 51% chose racism and discrimination. But among GOP voters, 58% chose law and order – a common rhetoric used by Trump to criticize protests against police barbarism and racism – and 53% chose the economy, jobs and cost of living.

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