The Covid-19 pandemic appears to be on its way as it spreads, researchers from the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and the University of Pennsylvania said on Tuesday.
The CHOP-based project team is monitoring cases in 384 US counties with active cases.
What their model sees is that, predictably, as the places open, people don’t stay home. As more people interact with others, the disease spreads. And the cases seem to be moving south to north along major traffic lanes – such as highways I-95 on the East Coast and I-85 in the South, and I-5 and I-10 in the West – said the team.
“We look at this data every week and we see the trend on the highways. We’re not looking at traffic with this model, but we thought it was interesting. “ Laboratory policy spokeswoman Lauren Walens said.
What seems to slow down the spread of the disease is the same as it was from the beginning: staying home, wearing a mask, washing hands. “Personal vigilance,” Walens said, is the key.
“It’s impossible to know if everyone is wearing a mask or not,” Walens added. “It simply came to our notice then. Temperature is one of them, but there is little difference between the weather in Atlanta and Jacksonville, so the weather cannot explain the difference between the two cities. We believe that it is partly a mobility. “
The next update of the team’s model will be released on Wednesday.