- The first voters in Texas have already surpassed the total number of people across the state who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 – and the election is still 14 days away.
- This number contributes to a huge wave of voter excitement sweeping the country.
- Trump beat Texas by 9 percentage points in 2016, but now votes on the margin of error.
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Early voting in Texas began just a week ago, but Lone Star State already leads the US.
In fact, more Texas voters have now voted in the upcoming presidential election than the total number of people in the state who voted for then-candidate Donald Trump in 2016.
This number contributes to a huge wave of voter excitement across the country, which is well on its way to breaking the record for early attendance. With two weeks to go until November 3, at least 35 million people have so far voted by mail or in person, according to data collected by the Election program in the USA. This number represents almost a quarter of the total votes counted in the 2016 presidential election.
Similar to Texas, the top voters in major battle states such as Florida, Wisconsin and Michigan have also exceeded 20% of their total turnout in 2016.
Democrats are hoping these steps will turn into a victory for former Vice President Joe Biden, and initial data are sloping in their favor. A closer look at the numbers in the states that provide information on party membership reveals that about 53% of the first votes went to Democrats compared to 25% to Republicans, according to Election program in the USA.
Texas has 38 electoral votes and has voted a Republican president in 11 of the last 12 elections. If Texas goes to Biden in November, the presidential race is over.
The decision of Desk Desk HQ, an election forecasting company, conducted 140,605 simulations where Trump emerged victorious – beating Texas in 99% of these scenarios. So winning Texas is not a preference for the Trump campaign – it is a necessity.
Recent vote by Consult in the morning Between October 2 and October 11 shows that Trump leads Biden in Texas by just 2 percentage points – within the margin of error. According to the DDHQ, Trump has a 61.3% chance of winning the state.
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott originally scheduled the snap vote to begin Oct. 19, but signed on Oct. 13 instead to meet public safety standards amid the coronavirus pandemic. Early voting ends on 30 October.
However, Abbott, along with other Republicans who have raised concerns about possible voter fraud, have successfully resisted pushing Democratic leaders to extend Texas’ stringent requirements for e-mail eligibility. A federal appellate court as well thwarted the Democrat effort in September.
The governor also issued an order restricting each Texas county to a single ballot box. A judge recently bypasses this range, but drop box availability is still a hotly debated issue in Texas.
Due to the ongoing legal history, the Harris County clerk noted that the county no plan to reopen the 11 closed boxes and you will continue to follow the captain’s command. Houston, Texas’ most populous city and the fourth largest city in the United States, is located in Harris County – which means that about 2.3 million people rely on a single drop box.
However, despite court rulings that may block access to votes, Texas is at a record pace in the 2020 election.