Don’t go cold turkey – at least not when it comes to loosening locking restrictions.
This is the message of a new study using mathematical modeling to show that governments should not simply turn off locking measures at the same time for everyone, as infection rates have slowed unless they want to risk an increase. cases of coronavirus threatening to flood the healthcare system.
“Decision makers – pay attention to math: getting out of the loop requires a gradual and gradual approach to maintaining control of the infection,” said Michael Bonsall of the University of Oxford’s Math Ecology Research Team. lead the study team.
“Without this attention, you run the risk of burdening health systems with further waves of infection,” Bonsall told CNN.
Lock restrictions or “anti-infection strategies” vary from country to country and state, but include travel bans, school closures, homework / home stay, isolation, and isolation. They can reduce infection rates, spread infections for a longer period of time in an approach known as leveling the curve.
As a result of the locking measures, about 60 million mock infections were prevented in the United States and 285 million in China, according to a separate study recently published in the journal Nature.
However, locks have huge emotional costs and have paralyzed economies around the world, including the official US recession.
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