Donald Trump's presidency is in turmoil - even by his own standards

Donald Trump’s presidency is in turmoil – even by his own standards

Trump has endured one of the most devastating political upheavals of any modern leader and seems to lack a coherent plan to repair the leaking ship, let alone the triumph of multiple crises that shake an increasingly unhappy nation.

He once again denies a pandemic that initially ignored the deaths of nearly 120,000 Americans, worsens in many states and now threatens the economic recovery he is using. Leading medical experts – within his own administration – and science rejects his false claims that the virus is “dying”. The story of Trump’s prejudice and racist rhetoric has left him out of step with a racial awakening for generations.
A Supreme Court, dominated by its new conservative majority, has twice accused him of LGBT rights and immigration issues at the heart of his political work. Facebook has just recorded a Trump campaign ad because of Nazi images. He lags far behind the supposedly democratic Joe Biden – who is just running – in national and state elections on the battlefield, and has just suffered the most devastating report from a former White House official in years, after John Bolton declared him inappropriate. to rule. Trump’s show that he is tough in China – the focus of his campaign – is completely omitted from the descriptions of the former national security adviser for his appeal to President Xi Jinping to help him win re-election.
There is a growing rift between the President and the army after he dragged them into his famous ecclesiastical photograph. Washington is full of whispers from Republican lawmakers who are afraid of being swayed by a vertical presidency. With the corona growing in Oklahoma, Trump, showing tremendous irresponsibility, plans to hold one of the world’s first public events for Saturday as he continues his campaign rally – in a horror show for epidemiologists and local health officials. that warn could kill people.

Less than five months before Election Day, with the nation struggling with simultaneous crises, every conventional political indicator flashes red for Trump. But any conventional political indicator has always been red for Trump – and he has never been defeated.

Because analysts will not delete Trump

If Trump loses in November, those last few weeks may be reminiscent of the time when Trump’s train finally finally hit the rails. However, among Democrats and those who do not support the President, fears that he will run for a second term are obvious anyway. The man who said he could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue, shoot someone and escape from it, created a supernatural political aura exactly five years after descending his golden escalator to Trump Tower and turning American politics around.

Part of the uncertainty about Trump’s prospects stems from the extraordinary nature of the times. The pandemic and the ensuing economic catastrophe are unlikely to lead to predictable or necessarily reasonable consequences. The mood in the country is even more complicated than normal, as most Americans have been locked up in their homes for weeks. Who knows who will still feel safe enough to vote in November if it is a choice between health and the exercise of democratic rights? Trump’s campaign, with his aggressive attempt to block e-mail voting, will certainly not make it any easier. And he has just launched a new campaign to overthrow another campaign in his favor, pushing for more than the traditional three general elections this fall.

The hidden tectonics of racial awakening after the death of George Floyd may well change the conventional politics of race. But the country’s main White, conservative half of which is more prone to Trump’s blows to the knee in the NFL, is demanding respect for the flag and “law and order,” and has warned that the United States will have to keep its legacy down. , “has not necessarily spoken yet.

Trump is an opposition politician. His initial election was a reaction to the cultural, racial and political change that many Americans saw in Obama’s presidency. The recent defeats of the Supreme Court could give the evangelical section of its core motivation for one last, decisive battle to create a general conservative majority in a second term of Trump. If there is one president who can exploit a political war with demagogy to save his own political skin, it would be the established one.

Similarly, Trump’s refusal to model wearing a mask in pandemic, his huge racial errors, and the proven inability of half his heart to fight the worst public health crisis in a century are often misunderstood by his supporters as catastrophic. which its critics in Washington and the media – which operate by fact-based analysis – perceive them. Indeed, Trump’s most brutal behavior often served as a validation for voters who sent him to Washington to destroy the status quo.

Trump, in his aggressive attacks on Biden who have not been physically and mentally fit for a long time, also clearly feels that he has an opening against a candidate without a record of success in presidential race – other than his shocking victory in the nomination race. of the Democrats. Meanwhile, a terrifying media outlet ensures that the events of the pandemic and the most peaceful protests since Floyd’s death never reach Trump voters.

The failure of many polling stations and the media to correctly predict Trump’s rise four years ago gives political analysts reason to reserve today’s speech by the President. But most of all, the incredible resilience of the five-year-old American rule of law breach may be the most important reason why the November election is still competitive, along with its unchanging bond. Trump with supporters, who, if proven, could give him a platform to reach a second term. Indeed, as CNN’s Maeve Reston reported this week, many Republican strategists say it is too early to know how the current climate will unfold in November, but they are optimistic that Trump’s enthusiasm among his constituents will be heeded. to “remove the police” on the left, it could strengthen Trump.

And there is also no doubt – as his indisputable behavior in Ukraine has shown – that the President will use every government power at his disposal – and many that are not – to move the election in his favor.

Because Trump has to carry out his rally in the middle of a pandemic

Those who support Trump’s second term may want to avoid a copy of his interview with the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday night. The summit was a combination of alternatives, denials and irrational statements about the virus and seemed to confirm Bolton’s accusations that the President was unfit for the post he served. No tangible electoral strategy was obvious other than the wildly optimistic predictions that the economy, powered by pandemic, would soon be better than ever.

From the beginning, Trump rejected the virus approach because it was politically uncomfortable. Now it is doing just that, as cases in many states with record levels of new infections are on the rise again, failing to properly manage the opening up of the economy and preparing a country for a reduced lifestyle until vaccines or treatments can. to be found.

“It’s fading. It’s going to fade,” Trump told Sean Hunty on Fox News on Wednesday, giving a false impression as 10 states set a record number of new cases this week. In Florida, one of the states that enthusiastically followed Trump’s push to reopen, experts warn of a possible “catastrophic” virus outbreak. Pandemic graphs in most countries show a sharp rise and then a more gradual path under the mountain. The US chart shows a climb to the mountain, then a kind of alpine ridge as the cases decreased a bit, then a plateau and then they started to rise again.

However, Trump, who, according to CNN reports, has begun to question the authenticity of the coronavirus data, is trying to sell a hypothesis that the peak in infections is due to more tests – an absurd argument, as more tests must be allow the health authorities to isolate and locate cases and ultimately eliminate new cases.

“Personally, I think the tests are too much, even though I created the largest test machine in history,” Trump told the Wall Street Journal. Every reliable public health expert says testing, detection and isolation are the keys to fighting a pandemic. Such experts also say that using a mask – a step that Trump refuses to approve or take publicly – is another vital step in controlling the transmission of the disease. California, for example, issued a state-level order Thursday requiring face cover.

“The mask is a double-edged sword and I see it. People come in, talk through the mask for hours. They probably won’t clean them afterwards, you know, they get a little indistinguishable, right?” Trump told the magazine in comments that are typical of an approach based on presumptions about the virus that drives science crazy.

In the wake of the disappointing news about the corona, which suggests that the United States is many months away from victory, the decision to go ahead with the Oklahoma rally looks like madness.

But the need for the President to have a moral, televised show of support that suggests his political base is ready for battle in November – even in the midst of extreme conditions – may be the strongest message, however, that the camp Trump is concerned about his prospects for a second term and believes a resumption is needed.

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