Nearly 180,000 Americans will die from coronavirus by October 1, unless almost everyone starts wearing masks, new projections show.
The latest screening of corona by the University of Washington’s Institute of Health and Evaluation shows 179,106 deaths by October 1 if nothing changes.
But that number would drop to 146,000 if 95% of Americans began wearing masks in public, according to the model.
The previous IHME forecast, released on June 15, predicted 201,129 deaths by October 1. “California and other states have seen an increase in the number of cases in recent weeks, but deaths are not increasing at the same rate, a trend that could change in the coming weeks,” IHME director Christopher Murray said in a statement. on Wednesday.
“There is no doubt that even when the states open, the United States continues to face a major epidemic in an upward trend that begins in late August and intensifies in September,” Murray said. “People need to know that using a mask can reduce the transmission of the virus by up to 50%, and those who refuse to risk their lives, their families, their friends and their communities.”
According to a June 12 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, about 74% of Americans nationwide said they wore masks frequently or permanently. That number is close to 90% in New York and Los Angeles.
“States that report the age of the confirmed cases suggest that there are more cases in younger people who are at significantly lower risk of death than the elderly,” Murray said. “It remains to be seen how it will unfold in the coming weeks, and if transmission continues to increase, we may see growing infections in populations at risk.”