With 24 days until the election and millions of votes have already been cast, Biden’s aides and Democratic allies say Trump’s mistakes and the former vice president’s message have given him a broad roadmap for 270 ballots. Time is running out for Trump to change the course of the struggle – and he fails to seize the opportunities that exist.
Recovering from the coronavirus, Trump has repeatedly promised over the weekend that he will return to the campaign trail this weekend. He is set to host a White House event on Saturday, raising potential concerns that – as in the case of Trump appointing Amy Connie Barrett to the Supreme Court – the virus could spread.
Trump’s actions this week sparked a round of politically dangerous headlines, leaving him without what could be a valuable opportunity to improve on his first appearance against Biden in a debate next week.
Guy Cecil, the head of Biden’s PAC Priorities USA, told reporters on Friday that Trump was “struggling to bring in new voters” and that “time is running out” for him to do so.
“The whole map has moved. Some states may be moving a little faster than others,” he said after singling out Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia, “but we’ve seen the whole map move toward Biden.”
Outside of Washington, Trump’s campaign passes, completely pulling his ads in Ohio and Iowa – two states that Trump won by more than 9 percentage points in 2016, but where polls show he is now tied to Biden – and cuts reimbursement costs to other Midwestern battlefields.
The reality, however, is more bleak for Trump: If he lost Ohio and Iowa, he would certainly have exploded by Biden across the map.
As Trump returns, Biden – powered by sources familiar with the matter – will be a record monthly fundraiser in September, surpassing $ 365 million in August – seeking to expand the competitive map, with ads and te Iowa and a major market across the state in Ohio this week.
Polls in recent days have found Biden well ahead of the nation – up 57% from Trump’s 41%, according to a CNN poll this week – and in the key battles of Arizona, Florida, Michigan and North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where he is likely to exceed the 270-vote threshold by winning three or four of the six. Quinnipiac showed Biden 13 points ahead of Pennsylvania and 11 points ahead of Florida. He led with 5 points in Wisconsin, per Market. The New York Times and Siena found Biden with 8 points in Arizona. Both CBS and YouGov found him ahead with 2 points in North Carolina.
Biden has so far surpassed Trump in all six of these key battle states, making them the focus of his campaign, even when he sees a wider playing field that includes Ohio, Iowa and possibly Texas and Georgia.
“There’s no extra credit here, right? We need to get to 270,” said Jen Rinder, Biden’s director of nation states.
Trump’s campaign is aimed precisely at the base of white men without college degrees, and the president insisted on the Limbug program on Friday that they would appear in large numbers on Election Day.
“I think you will see a very big vote boom,” Trump said.
However, under the vote, there were signs across the map that Republicans were in danger. Campaign finance reports show Democratic Senate candidates beating their GOP rivals in fundraising in the third quarter, giving the party a huge publicity boost in the final days of the race.
With Democrats needing a three-seat net gain to gain control of the Senate if Biden wins the presidency, opinion polls show Democratic Senate leaders leading in Arizona, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina, and Iowa. as well as the Democrat candidates surprisingly in controversy in South Carolina and Kansas. Polls have also shown that both Senate rallies in Georgia could be rescheduled. Even Alaska may be online late in the season for Democrats.
Threatened Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina told Politico that the GOP-led Senate would be “the best control for a Biden presidency,” a nod to Biden’s status as a clear leader.
Biden, meanwhile, is in a comfortable position. His campaign this week released a video of former Mrs. Michelle Obama making a “closed argument” against Trump and citing the approval of singer Taylor Swift, possibly lending the former vice president a cultural cassette among younger voters.
Biden and Harris were in Arizona on a joint bus tour Thursday, driving separately to remain vigilant as coronavirus cases rise across the nation. His campaign said he had agreed at an ABC town hall on the virtual dialogue site the following week that Trump had been backing it since Thursday morning.
Biden praised this week in a speech in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, in which he elicited the famous words of Abraham Lincoln on the battlefield of the civil war and said that he would seek to unite the country.
His message in the final weeks of the race does not change much from how he started in April 2019, when he launched his campaign in Philadelphia: arguing that the “soul of the nation” is at stake.
Aides said the message allowed Biden to turn Republican-leaning states into battlefields. Polls suggest Trump leads Trump among voters 65 and older – a rare achievement for a Democratic nominee – and benefits from a huge gender divide, with women overwhelmingly supporting him and men more evenly divided. Biden has been said to offer calm and stability amid a pandemic that has claimed more than 210,000 American lives and the chaos created by Trump – qualities that attract a wide range of voters.
“This message is not for Democratic Initiative Democrats. This is not for Republican voters. This has been consistent, and it has always been for a wide range. And that is why the map remains what it does,” said Becca Siegel. , chief analyst of Biden Officer. “We can do a lot of testing and polling and work on the best message, but that comes from our candidate.”
CNN’s Dan Merica contributed to this report.